Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.486988 0.557613 0.634026 0.722736 0.822774 0.931981 1.060109
2025-04-06 0.381913 0.478117 0.590806 0.732086 0.903976 1.105798 1.360165
2025-04-13 0.292860 0.398749 0.532326 0.712110 0.946521 1.240404 1.635187
2025-04-20 0.243511 0.358268 0.513204 0.735586 1.044080 1.453981 2.036312
2025-04-27 0.207018 0.327411 0.500513 0.764070 1.150850 1.692335 2.500959
2025-05-04 0.173125 0.293346 0.476815 0.772057 1.228608 1.899285 2.947580
2025-05-11 0.144664 0.261767 0.450857 0.771381 1.291755 2.090909 3.393344
2025-05-18 0.121976 0.234960 0.427404 0.769924 1.351779 2.282769 3.859394
2025-05-25 0.104457 0.213525 0.408904 0.772904 1.417838 2.489567 4.369530
2025-06-01 0.090859 0.196513 0.395008 0.781009 1.492274 2.716360 4.934238
2025-06-08 0.077778 0.177842 0.374814 0.774165 1.538450 2.898777 5.440948
2025-06-15 0.069678 0.167693 0.369053 0.793092 1.632903 3.173536 6.133449
2025-06-22 0.059898 0.152175 0.350462 0.784923 1.676534 3.364071 6.699788
2025-06-29 0.053328 0.142566 0.342555 0.797201 1.761418 3.639500 7.449770
2025-07-06 0.045278 0.127722 0.320817 0.776985 1.777938 3.786085 7.970516
2025-07-13 0.041521 0.122762 0.320481 0.803363 1.894433 4.139494 8.925351
2025-07-20 0.038475 0.119012 0.322344 0.834889 2.025535 4.534619 9.998872
2025-07-27 0.034543 0.111989 0.315084 0.843974 2.107978 4.837225 10.911490
2025-08-03 0.030651 0.104192 0.304540 0.843512 2.168451 5.098900 11.762079
2025-08-10 0.027225 0.096979 0.294260 0.842107 2.226300 5.359917 12.633737
2025-08-17 0.024417 0.091018 0.286316 0.845459 2.295716 5.652482 13.598501
2025-08-24 0.022136 0.086221 0.280787 0.854339 2.379588 5.984971 14.679204
2025-08-31 0.019605 0.079944 0.269880 0.846954 2.421537 6.224699 15.571378